Technology interactions reshape the economics of China's coal power decarbonization
This study identifies the cost-optimal decarbonization pathway for China’s coal-fired power system under the synergistic deployment of multiple emission reduction technologies. To this end, an optimization model incorporating plant-level heterogeneity and shared resource constraints—specifically biomass availability and CO₂ storage capacity—is developed to systematically quantify, for the first time, the interaction effects among energy efficiency retrofits, biomass co-firing, and carbon capture on marginal abatement costs and technology portfolios. The results indicate that approximately 1.2 Gt CO₂ per year of emissions reductions can be achieved at negative marginal cost, with a marginal cost of $56 per ton CO₂ for achieving carbon neutrality. In deep decarbonization phases, the optimal pathway shifts from efficiency improvements to biomass co-firing and ultimately relies on biomass-integrated carbon capture to deliver net-negative emissions.