Covariate-Adjusted Functional Principal Components Analysis for Modeling Hazard Rates of Physical Activity in the US Population

📅 2026-06-17
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🤖 AI Summary
Traditional summary metrics struggle to capture the heterogeneity in individual physical activity intensity distributions. This study proposes a novel approach that integrates wrist-worn accelerometer-derived individual activity intensity hazard functions with functional data analysis. By employing nonparametric modeling, log-transformation, and covariate-adjusted functional principal component analysis (FPCA), the method uncovers dominant modes of variation in population-level physical activity patterns. Moving beyond mean-based summaries, this framework offers a more flexible and interpretable characterization of heterogeneity. Applied to large-scale NHANES data, the approach successfully identifies significant differences in high- and low-intensity activity profiles across population subgroups, demonstrating its superior capability in describing and comparing physical activity distributions.
📝 Abstract
Physical activity plays a vital role in human health. Its entire distribution differs among people. Commonly used summary measures cannot describe this distributional pattern. We present a distribution-based analytical approach to describe physical activity by modeling individual-level activity-intensity patterns through hazard functions derived from wrist-worn accelerometer data. We analyzed minute-level Monitor-Independent Movement Summary (MIMS) data of 4297 adults with seven continuous days of device wear from the 2011- 2012 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). We derived a nonparametric activity-intensity hazard using a survival-based approach for each individual on a common intensity grid, treating both the hazard curves from MIMS and their log-transformed MIMS as functional objects. We used functional principal component analysis (FPCA) on both scales of MIMS to characterize dominant modes of variation in activity-intensity distributions. Group-wise mean hazard functions showed little difference at lower intensity levels, while we observed a substantial difference at higher intensity levels. Our results demonstrate that hazard-based functional representations for capturing differences in physical activity intensity distributions across individuals offer a flexible and interpretable way to characterize heterogeneity. This approach works better than mean-based summaries and supports principled comparisons of physical activity patterns across population subgroups.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

physical activity
hazard function
distributional pattern
intensity heterogeneity
accelerometer data
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

functional principal component analysis
hazard function
physical activity intensity distribution
accelerometer data
distribution-based modeling
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Md Rokibul Hasan
Department of Data Science, University of Mississippi Medical Center
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Department of Data Science, University of Mississippi Medical Center