Detecting Early and Late Divergences in Survival Curves Using Nonparametric Effect Measures

📅 2026-09-02
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
📄 PDF
🤖 AI Summary
本文针对生存曲线早期和晚期的差异检测问题,提出了一种基于非参数效应测量的联合推断框架,该方法在非比例风险下优于对数秩检验。
📝 Abstract
Clinical trials often show treatment curves that diverge early and converge later, or vice versa patterns that are poorly captured by the proportional-hazards assumption. We develop a joint inferential framework for two nonparametric functionals of censored survival data: the Kaplan--Meier-based Mann--Whitney effect and a novel temporal contrast separating early and late differences. The approach provides interpretable, probability-scale effect measures and enables joint inference for global and temporal contrasts under right censoring. In simulation studies, the method outperforms the log-rank test under non-proportional hazards while maintaining nominal type-I error. A real-world application illustrates how the temporal contrast reveals clinically meaningful early treatment advantages that remain hidden in standard analyses
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Survival Curves
Nonparametric Effect Measures
Proportional Hazards
Censored Data
Temporal Contrast
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

nonparametric functionals
temporal contrast
right censoring
joint inference
🔎 Similar Papers
P
Patrick B. Langthaler
Intelligent Data Analytics (IDA) Lab, Department of Artificial Intelligence and Human Interfaces (AIHI), Paris Lodron University of Salzburg, Salzburg, Austria
J
Jun Ma
School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, Australia
J
Jonas Beck
Division of Biostatistics, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany