🤖 AI Summary
本文针对生存曲线早期和晚期的差异检测问题,提出了一种基于非参数效应测量的联合推断框架,该方法在非比例风险下优于对数秩检验。
📝 Abstract
Clinical trials often show treatment curves that diverge early and converge later, or vice versa patterns that are poorly captured by the proportional-hazards assumption. We develop a joint inferential framework for two nonparametric functionals of censored survival data: the Kaplan--Meier-based Mann--Whitney effect and a novel temporal contrast separating early and late differences. The approach provides interpretable, probability-scale effect measures and enables joint inference for global and temporal contrasts under right censoring. In simulation studies, the method outperforms the log-rank test under non-proportional hazards while maintaining nominal type-I error. A real-world application illustrates how the temporal contrast reveals clinically meaningful early treatment advantages that remain hidden in standard analyses