Has Scientific Talent Shifted from Depth to Breadth?Evidence across Papers, Knowledge Inputs, Careers, and Teams

📅 2026-09-13
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
研究探讨了科学领域是否从深度专精转向广度知识,通过分析2010-2025年间47,959篇文章等数据,发现团队规模扩大而论文主题范围缩小,表明专注产出与广泛知识输入共存。
📝 Abstract
Generative artificial intelligence raises a central question for scientific training and organization. Is research shifting from deep specialization toward broad individual knowledge? We examine this proposition across papers, cited knowledge, contributor histories, and teams using 47,959 articles from six fields over 2010-2025, 51,736 resolved cited works, and chronologically reconstructed prior publication histories for 1,754 randomly selected index contributors. From 2010 to 2022, team size increased by an estimated 37.3% (95% confidence interval [34.4%, 40.3%]), while paper topic breadth declined by 0.0144 on a 0-1 hierarchical distance scale. Cited knowledge was stable to modestly broader, revealing a divergence between focused outputs and the reach of knowledge inputs. Established contributors' prior breadth increased by 0.0190 [-0.0078, 0.0459] by 2019-2022, within a +/-0.05 equivalence bound assessed in sensitivity analysis. In mature citation windows, one standard deviation of focal depth was associated with 8.2% higher 1 + FWCI [1.9%, 14.9%]; average breadth and interaction associations were smaller under the specified equivalence bounds. Post-2022 deviations from earlier trends were not systematic, and recent changes did not vary clearly with baseline AI intensity across 83 subfields. The findings support a differentiated structure of scientific expertise in which focused individual accumulation coexists with expanding collaboration and sustained access to diverse knowledge inputs.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Scientific Training
Specialization
Breadth of Knowledge
Collaboration
Cited Knowledge
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Scientific Specialization
Research Collaboration
Knowledge Breadth
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Xiaoshn Nee
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Haobo Zhong
HSBC Business School, Peking University, Shenzhen City, Guangdong 518055, China
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Xiaomin Ni
Artificial Intelligence Research Institute, Shenzhen University of Advanced Technology, Shenzhen, China