Institution profile

Universidad Nacional de Colombia

Academic institutionsouthamerica · co
Official website
Research library30linked papers
Opportunities0open roles
Selected work

Representative Papers

Statistics in the Age of AI

Aug 20, 2026

本文讨论了AI时代统计学如何通过构建、批评和保护统计依据来确保数据支持科学主张,强调了问题与目标对统计方法的重要性以及数据分析选择的合理性。

0 citationsRead paper

Bayesian Node Edge Modeling of Road Crashes in Central Bogotá

Aug 10, 2026

Traditional approaches struggle to differentiate between road segments and intersections in terms of their distinct crash exposure characteristics and connectivity patterns. This study proposes a Bayesian negative binomial node–edge model that, for the first time, jointly models intersections and segments as heterogeneous network units, explicitly capturing their divergent crash mechanisms. Integrating variables such as road network topology, land use, and signal control, the framework establishes an interpretable baseline for urban crash analysis. Empirical results indicate that four-legged or higher-order intersections and higher approach speeds significantly increase expected crash frequency. Among segment-level factors, road class and signalization exhibit the strongest associations with crash occurrence, whereas certain pavement types demonstrate limited predictive power.

0 citationsRead paper
Recent publications

Latest Papers

Statistics in the Age of AI

Aug 20, 2026

本文讨论了AI时代统计学如何通过构建、批评和保护统计依据来确保数据支持科学主张,强调了问题与目标对统计方法的重要性以及数据分析选择的合理性。

0 citationsRead paper

Bayesian Node Edge Modeling of Road Crashes in Central Bogotá

Aug 10, 2026

Traditional approaches struggle to differentiate between road segments and intersections in terms of their distinct crash exposure characteristics and connectivity patterns. This study proposes a Bayesian negative binomial node–edge model that, for the first time, jointly models intersections and segments as heterogeneous network units, explicitly capturing their divergent crash mechanisms. Integrating variables such as road network topology, land use, and signal control, the framework establishes an interpretable baseline for urban crash analysis. Empirical results indicate that four-legged or higher-order intersections and higher approach speeds significantly increase expected crash frequency. Among segment-level factors, road class and signalization exhibit the strongest associations with crash occurrence, whereas certain pavement types demonstrate limited predictive power.

0 citationsRead paper