Institution profile

Toulouse School of Economics

Academic institutioneurope · fr
Official website
Research library26linked papers
Opportunities0open roles
Selected work

Representative Papers

Optimizing Economic Complexity

Mar 06, 2025

Existing correlation–complexity mapping approaches for identifying economic diversification lack theoretical optimality guarantees and empirical validation. Method: This paper formalizes diversification as an optimization problem subject to specialization constraints and proposes a novel Economic Complexity Optimization (ECO) algorithm that minimizes a cost function integrating the Economic Complexity Index (ECI), the Product Space network, and gradient-driven neighborhood search. Contribution: The approach overcomes the empirically grounded but theoretically ad hoc limitations of graph-based methods, shifting the paradigm from descriptive analysis to normative, actionable strategy generation. The resulting diversification pathways exhibit superior theoretical coherence and empirical interpretability compared to conventional recommendations. By bridging theory and practice, this work advances economic complexity methodologies toward operational, policy-ready tools. (149 words)

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Beliefs and Behavior in Language Models

Sep 07, 2026

研究提出了一种方法,通过推断出的语言模型的潜在信念变量来预测其对新提示的反应,以此探讨大型语言模型是否可被描述为持有信念。

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Information for nothing and authority for free

Aug 10, 2026

This study addresses a principal–agent problem without monetary transfers, where the principal must decide whether to undertake a project, facing private implementation costs, while the agent possesses private information about benefits and incompletely internalizes those costs. Integrating Bayesian mechanism design, information economics, and game theory, the paper proposes an optimal decision mechanism that does not require the agent to report any information. Instead, the principal either fully delegates both information and decision rights to the agent at no cost or entirely disregards the agent’s input. This approach achieves incentive compatibility and maximizes the principal’s expected utility. The mechanism departs from conventional paradigms reliant on informational reporting and demonstrates that, under certain conditions, delegation strictly dominates control, thereby offering a novel pathway to efficiency in transfer-free principal–agent settings.

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Recent publications

Latest Papers

Beliefs and Behavior in Language Models

Sep 07, 2026

研究提出了一种方法,通过推断出的语言模型的潜在信念变量来预测其对新提示的反应,以此探讨大型语言模型是否可被描述为持有信念。

0 citationsRead paper

Information for nothing and authority for free

Aug 10, 2026

This study addresses a principal–agent problem without monetary transfers, where the principal must decide whether to undertake a project, facing private implementation costs, while the agent possesses private information about benefits and incompletely internalizes those costs. Integrating Bayesian mechanism design, information economics, and game theory, the paper proposes an optimal decision mechanism that does not require the agent to report any information. Instead, the principal either fully delegates both information and decision rights to the agent at no cost or entirely disregards the agent’s input. This approach achieves incentive compatibility and maximizes the principal’s expected utility. The mechanism departs from conventional paradigms reliant on informational reporting and demonstrates that, under certain conditions, delegation strictly dominates control, thereby offering a novel pathway to efficiency in transfer-free principal–agent settings.

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Defensive Pessimism: Growth, Culture, and the Survival of Evidence

Aug 05, 2026

In growth-oriented societies, dominant technologies, while enhancing productivity, may erode the social practices necessary for recognizing failure, thereby heightening the risk of predatory institutional arrangements. This study proposes a “defensive pessimism” analytical framework that integrates dynamic systems modeling, resilience analysis, and institutional evolution theory, conceptualizing culture as a stock of cognitive capital. The framework reveals how economic growth can expand the population of skeptics while simultaneously diminishing their political influence. The research identifies critical thresholds between practice erosion and institutional collapse, demonstrating that preserving external practices nearly guarantees the activation of corrective mechanisms. Furthermore, it introduces a “rolling performance bond” mechanism designed to safeguard high-value reform alternatives against opportunistic dismantling of experimental initiatives, thereby supporting robust institutional adaptation.

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