Profile Graphical Models

πŸ“… 2026-03-30
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This study addresses the challenge of modeling how external risk factors influence multivariate conditional independence structures within a unified graphical framework. To this end, the authors propose a novel class of models termed β€œprofile graphical models,” formally defining this family for the first time and showing that both multigraphs and chain graphs arise as special cases. They further establish the compatibility of profile graphical models with the independence interpretation of two-block LWF chain graphs. Building upon a continuous spike-and-slab prior, they develop a Bayesian inference procedure for Gaussian undirected profile graphical models and devise an efficient EM algorithm for implementation. Empirical evaluations on both synthetic data and protein signaling networks in acute myeloid leukemia demonstrate that the proposed model yields more parsimonious network representations and significantly improves the capture of patient heterogeneity compared to existing approaches.
πŸ“ Abstract
We introduce a novel class of graphical models, termed profile graphical models, that represent, within a single graph, how an external factor influences the dependence structure of a multivariate set of variables. This class is quite general and includes multiple graphs and chain graphs as special cases. Profile graphical models capture the conditional distributions of a multivariate random vector given different levels of a risk factor, and learn how the conditional independence structure among variables may vary across these risk profiles; we formally define this family of models and establish their corresponding Markov properties. We derive key structural and probabilistic properties that underpin a more powerful inferential framework than existing approaches, underscoring that our contribution extends beyond a novel graphical representation.Furthermore, we show that the resulting profile undirected graphical models are independence-compatible with two-block LWF chain graph models.We then develop a Bayesian approach for Gaussian undirected profile graphical models based on continuous spike-and-slab priors to learn shared sparsity structures across different levels of the risk factor. We also design a fast EM algorithm for efficient inference. Inferential properties are explored through simulation studies, including the comparison with competing methods. The practical utility of this class of models is demonstrated through the analysis of protein network data from various subtypes of acute myeloid leukemia. Our results show a more parsimonious network and greater patient heterogeneity than its competitors, highlighting its enhanced ability to capture subject-specific differences.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

profile graphical models
conditional independence
risk factor
multivariate dependence
graphical representation
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

profile graphical models
conditional independence
spike-and-slab priors
EM algorithm
heterogeneous networks
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A
Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco
Institute of Applied Statistics, Johannes Kepler University Linz; Harvard-MIT Center for Regulatory Science, Harvard Medical School
M
Monia Lupparelli
Depart. of Statistics, Computer Science, Applications "G. Parenti", University of Florence
Francesco C. Stingo
Francesco C. Stingo
Professor of Statistics, University of Florence
StatisticsBiostatisticsBayesian modelingGraphical ModelsHigh-Dimensional Data