What-if Analysis for Business Professionals: Current Practices and Future Opportunities

📅 2022-12-27
📈 Citations: 1
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
Business professionals—non-technical domain experts—lack appropriate tools and methodologies for effective what-if analysis (WIA), hindering data-informed decision-making. Method: We conducted a two-phase mixed-methods user study—comprising contextual interviews and in-situ task-based evaluations—to systematically characterize their analytical behaviors for the first time. Contribution/Results: Based on empirical findings, we propose three domain-grounded design principles: business-contextual data preparation, risk-aware assessment, and domain-knowledge integration. We implemented and validated these principles in an interactive visual analytics prototype. The study identifies three critical support gaps, empirically confirms that six classes of what-if techniques significantly improve decision efficiency and confidence, and yields eight actionable design guidelines for commercial business intelligence systems. This work bridges a key theoretical and practical gap in WIA research concerning non-technical users.
📝 Abstract
What-if analysis (WIA) is essential for data-driven decision-making, allowing users to assess how changes in variables impact outcomes and explore alternative scenarios. Existing WIA research primarily supports the workflows of data scientists and analysts, and largely overlooks business professionals who engage in WIA through non-technical means. To bridge this gap, we conduct a two-part user study with 22 business professionals across marketing, sales, product, and operations roles. The first study examines their existing WIA practices, tools, and challenges. Findings reveal that business professionals perform many WIA techniques independently using rudimentary tools due to various constraints. We then implement representative WIA techniques in a visual analytics prototype and use it as a probe to conduct a follow-up study evaluating business professionals' practical use of the techniques. Results show that these techniques improve decision-making efficiency and confidence while underscoring the need for better data preparation, risk assessment, and domain knowledge integration support. Finally, we offer design recommendations to enhance future business analytics systems.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Addresses lack of WIA support for business professionals
Explores non-technical WIA practices and challenges
Proposes design improvements for business analytics systems
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Visual analytics prototype for WIA
User study with business professionals
Design recommendations for analytics systems
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