A graph neural network-based model with Out-of-Distribution Robustness for enhancing Antiretroviral Therapy Outcome Prediction for HIV-1

📅 2023-12-29
🏛️ Comput. Medical Imaging Graph.
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This work addresses poor generalizability of models for predicting HIV-1 antiretroviral therapy (ART) outcomes—caused by scarce novel-drug data and severe clinical distributional shift. We propose the first causal disentanglement framework integrating graph neural networks (GNNs) with out-of-distribution (OOD) robust learning. Our method constructs a patient–drug–virus heterogeneous relational graph, jointly employing causal representation disentanglement and neighborhood-aware adversarial training to explicitly mitigate confounding bias and enhance OOD robustness. Additionally, we incorporate an OOD detection and calibration module to improve prediction reliability. Evaluated on multicenter real-world cohorts, our model achieves an 8.3% absolute improvement in cross-institutional accuracy and a 12.7% gain in OOD-scenario AUC, significantly outperforming state-of-the-art baselines.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Enhances HIV-1 therapy outcome prediction
Addresses data scarcity for new drugs
Improves robustness against imbalanced data
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Graph Neural Network integration
Out-of-Distribution Robustness enhancement
Stanford drug-resistance mutation utilization
G
Giulia Di Teodoro
Sapienza University of Rome, Department of Computer Control and Management Engineering Antonio Ruberti, 00185, Rome, Italy; EuResist Network, 00152, Rome, Italy
Federico Siciliano
Federico Siciliano
Post-doc, Sapienza University of Rome
Explainable Artificial IntelligenceRecommender Systems
Valerio Guarrasi
Valerio Guarrasi
Università Campus Bio-Medico di Roma, Italy
Artificial IntelligenceMachine LearningMultimodal Deep LearningGenerative AI
A
Anne-Mieke Vandamme
KU Leuven, Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute for Medical Research, Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Leuven, Belgium; Center for Global Health and Tropical Medicine, Instituto de Higiene e Medicina Tropical, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, 1349-008, Lisbon, Portugal
V
Valeria Ghisetti
Molecular Biology and Microbiology Unit, Amedeo di Savoia Hospital, ASL Città di Torino, 10128, Turin, Italy
A
Anders Sonnerborg
Karolinska Institutet, Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine Huddinge, 14152, Stockholm, Sweden
Maurizio Zazzi
Maurizio Zazzi
Department of Medical Biotechnologies, University of Siena, 53100, Siena, Italy
Fabrizio Silvestri
Fabrizio Silvestri
Sapienza, University of Rome
Machine LearningArtificial IntelligenceNatural Language ProcessingRAGWeb
Laura Palagi
Laura Palagi
Sapienza University of Rome, Department of Computer Control and Management Engineering Antonio Ruberti, 00185, Rome, Italy