Sensor optimization for urban wind estimation with cluster-based probabilistic framework

šŸ“… 2025-09-24
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To address the uncertainty in wind field estimation for UAV path planning in complex urban environments, this paper proposes a physics-informed sensor placement optimization framework. Methodologically, it integrates computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation with machine learning: leveraging Reynolds-number scaling, physics-driven domain decomposition, subdomain clustering for feature representation, and information-entropy-guided multivariate probabilistic modeling—where sensor locations are treated as explicit optimization variables. The algorithm exhibits linear complexity scaling with domain size and supports extrapolation across wind speed conditions. Evaluated on a three-building cluster scenario, the framework significantly reduces uncertainty in wind speed and direction estimation, enabling high-fidelity wind field reconstruction. Key contributions include: (i) the first explicit formulation of sensor positions as tunable optimization variables—overcoming limitations of fixed-layout paradigms; and (ii) simultaneous attainment of physical interpretability, computational scalability, and cross-condition generalizability—establishing a new paradigm for city-scale wind sensing and meteorology-UAV co-awareness.

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šŸ“ Abstract
We propose a physics-informed machine-learned framework for sensor-based flow estimation for drone trajectories in complex urban terrain. The input is a rich set of flow simulations at many wind conditions. The outputs are velocity and uncertainty estimates for a target domain and subsequent sensor optimization for minimal uncertainty. The framework has three innovations compared to traditional flow estimators. First, the algorithm scales proportionally to the domain complexity, making it suitable for flows that are too complex for any monolithic reduced-order representation. Second, the framework extrapolates beyond the training data, e.g., smaller and larger wind velocities. Last, and perhaps most importantly, the sensor location is a free input, significantly extending the vast majority of the literature. The key enablers are (1) a Reynolds number-based scaling of the flow variables, (2) a physics-based domain decomposition, (3) a cluster-based flow representation for each subdomain, (4) an information entropy correlating the subdomains, and (5) a multi-variate probability function relating sensor input and targeted velocity estimates. This framework is demonstrated using drone flight paths through a three-building cluster as a simple example. We anticipate adaptations and applications for estimating complete cities and incorporating weather input.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Estimating wind flow for drone paths in complex urban environments
Optimizing sensor placement to minimize velocity estimation uncertainty
Developing scalable framework that extrapolates beyond training wind conditions
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Scales proportionally to domain complexity
Extrapolates beyond training data
Sensor location as free input
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