FESTA: Functionally Equivalent Sampling for Trust Assessment of Multimodal LLMs

📅 2025-09-20
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🤖 AI Summary
Assessing the trustworthiness of multimodal large language models (MLLMs) is challenging due to input heterogeneity. This paper proposes FESTA, a black-box trust assessment method that introduces, for the first time, task-preserving equivalent and complementary input sampling—enabling uncertainty estimation via functional equivalence and complementarity modeling without requiring ground-truth labels or internal model access. FESTA extends the multimodal input space solely through the input-output interface, achieving unsupervised, plug-and-play trust quantification. Evaluated on visual and audio reasoning tasks, FESTA improves AUROC for misprediction detection by 33.3% and 29.6%, respectively, significantly enhancing selective prediction capability and user trust. The implementation is publicly available.

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📝 Abstract
The accurate trust assessment of multimodal large language models (MLLMs) generated predictions, which can enable selective prediction and improve user confidence, is challenging due to the diverse multi-modal input paradigms. We propose Functionally Equivalent Sampling for Trust Assessment (FESTA), a multimodal input sampling technique for MLLMs, that generates an uncertainty measure based on the equivalent and complementary input samplings. The proposed task-preserving sampling approach for uncertainty quantification expands the input space to probe the consistency (through equivalent samples) and sensitivity (through complementary samples) of the model. FESTA uses only input-output access of the model (black-box), and does not require ground truth (unsupervised). The experiments are conducted with various off-the-shelf multi-modal LLMs, on both visual and audio reasoning tasks. The proposed FESTA uncertainty estimate achieves significant improvement (33.3% relative improvement for vision-LLMs and 29.6% relative improvement for audio-LLMs) in selective prediction performance, based on area-under-receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUROC) metric in detecting mispredictions. The code implementation is open-sourced.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Assessing trust in multimodal LLM predictions without ground truth
Quantifying uncertainty for diverse multimodal input paradigms
Enabling selective prediction through black-box model evaluation
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Functionally Equivalent Sampling for uncertainty quantification
Black-box unsupervised trust assessment technique
Expands input space with equivalent and complementary samples
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