Developing Bayesian probabilistic reasoning capacity in HSS disciplines: Qualitative evaluation on bayesvl and BMF analytics for ECRs

📅 2025-12-12
🏛️ arXiv.org
📈 Citations: 1
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
Early-career researchers (ECRs) in the humanities and social sciences often face significant barriers to conducting rigorous complex systems research due to publication pressures, limited resources, and methodological constraints. This work proposes the Bayesian Mindsponge Framework (BMF), which integrates concepts from quantum physics, mathematical logic, and information theory into Bayesian inference through the authors’ custom-developed bayesvl R package and the GITT-VT interdisciplinary analytical paradigm. The resulting ecosystem offers a theory-driven, resource-efficient suite of tools that supports mixed-methods qualitative and quantitative research. Since 2019, this framework has enabled over 160 scholars across 22 countries to publish 112 peer-reviewed articles, substantially lowering the threshold for advanced Bayesian analysis and fostering inclusive, cross-disciplinary methodological innovation.
📝 Abstract
Methodological innovations have become increasingly critical in the humanities and social sciences (HSS) as researchers confront complex, nonlinear, and rapidly evolving socio-environmental systems. On the other hand, while Early Career Researchers (ECRs) continue to face intensified publication pressure, limited resources, and persistent methodological barriers. Employing the GITT-VT analytical paradigm--which integrates worldviews from quantum physics, mathematical logic, and information theory--this study examines the seven-year evolution of the Bayesian Mindsponge Framework (BMF) analytics and the bayesvl R software (hereafter referred to collectively as BMF analytics) and evaluates their contributions to strengthening ECRs'capacity for rigorous and innovative research. Since 2019, the bayesvl R package and BMF analytics have supported more than 160 authors from 22 countries in producing 112 peer-reviewed publications spanning both qualitative and quantitative designs across diverse interdisciplinary domains. By tracing the method's inception, refinement, and developmental trajectory, this study elucidates how accessible, theory-driven computational tools can lower barriers to advanced quantitative analysis, foster a more inclusive methodological ecosystem--particularly for ECRs in low-resource settings--and inform the design of next-generation research methods that are flexible, reproducible, conceptually justified, and well-suited to interdisciplinary inquiries.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Early Career Researchers
Humanities and Social Sciences
Methodological Barriers
Bayesian Probabilistic Reasoning
Research Capacity
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Bayesian Mindsponge Framework
bayesvl
GITT-VT paradigm
probabilistic reasoning
computational tools for HSS
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Q
Quan-Hoang Vuong
Université Libre de Bruxelles - Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management, Centre Emile Bernheim de Recherche Interdisciplinaire en Gestion
M
Minh-Hoang Nguyen
Université Libre de Bruxelles - Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management, Centre Emile Bernheim de Recherche Interdisciplinaire en Gestion