Quantum Annealing Enhanced Reinforcement Learning for Accurate Remaining Useful Lifetime Prediction

📅 2026-06-16
📈 Citations: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the challenge of suboptimal convergence in remaining useful life prediction within high-dimensional non-convex spaces by proposing a novel integration of quantum annealing into a Q-learning framework. Specifically, each Q-value update is formulated as a Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization (QUBO) problem and solved using the D-Wave Advantage quantum annealing system. The near-optimal action distributions generated through quantum annealing enhance exploration and effectively mitigate premature convergence. Combining minor embedding with a stochastic action selection mechanism, the proposed method achieves statistically significant improvements across six error metrics on both the NASA C-MAPSS dataset and a real-world equipment fleet maintenance dataset, outperforming classical and existing quantum baselines. These results demonstrate the practical viability and transformative potential of quantum annealing in predictive maintenance applications.
📝 Abstract
Remaining useful life (RUL) estimation is central to predictive maintenance, where an unplanned failure can cost far more than the asset itself. Statistical degradation models miss the strong nonlinearity of real systems, and data-driven models often converge to suboptimal solutions in high-dimensional, non-convex search spaces. We propose a Quantum Annealing enhanced Q-Learning (QAQL) framework that couples the sampling behaviour of quantum annealing with the sequential decision making of Q-learning. Each Q-value update is encoded as a small quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) whose ground state is the greedy action; rather than acting as a deterministic optimizer, the annealer returns a distribution over near-optimal actions across many reads, and this stochastic action selection supplies the exploration that curbs premature convergence on nonlinear degradation trajectories. The QUBO is solved on the D-Wave Advantage system using minor embedding, with the annealer woven into the reinforcement-learning loop rather than bolted on after training. We validate QAQL on two public benchmarks: the NASA C-MAPSS turbofan engine datasets and a device-fleet predictive maintenance dataset. Averaged over many independent runs and across six error metrics, QAQL outperforms the classical and quantum baselines considered in this study, with statistically significant improvements. The results indicate that quantum annealing is a usable, not merely theoretical, optimizer inside a reinforcement-learning loop for industrial predictive-maintenance applications.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Remaining Useful Life
Predictive Maintenance
Nonlinear Degradation
High-dimensional Optimization
Suboptimal Convergence
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Quantum Annealing
Q-Learning
QUBO
Remaining Useful Life Prediction
Predictive Maintenance
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