🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the challenge of identifying emerging technological opportunities. Methodologically, it proposes a patent analysis framework that integrates large language models (LLMs) with time-aware topic modeling: LLMs are employed to extract fine-grained technical themes from patent texts and model their semantic evolution, while temporal dependency mining uncovers dynamic inter-technical relationships; conversational prompt engineering further enhances interpretability in detecting nascent directions. The key contribution lies in the first deep coupling of LLMs’ thematic understanding capability with temporal topic modeling, enabling traceable, fine-grained dynamic modeling of technological evolution. Experiments on an AI-domain patent dataset demonstrate the framework’s efficacy in identifying paradigm shifts—such as the transition toward “daily accessibility”—and its strong capability in trend forecasting and opportunity early warning.
📝 Abstract
Technology opportunities are critical information that serve as a foundation for advancements in technology, industry, and innovation. This paper proposes a framework based on the temporal relationships between technologies to identify emerging technology opportunities. The proposed framework begins by extracting text from a patent dataset, followed by mapping text-based topics to discover inter-technology relationships. Technology opportunities are then identified by tracking changes in these topics over time. To enhance efficiency, the framework leverages a large language model to extract topics and employs a prompt for a chat-based language model to support the discovery of technology opportunities. The framework was evaluated using an artificial intelligence patent dataset provided by the United States Patent and Trademark Office. The experimental results suggest that artificial intelligence technology is evolving into forms that facilitate everyday accessibility. This approach demonstrates the potential of the proposed framework to identify future technology opportunities.