SePA: A Search-enhanced Predictive Agent for Personalized Health Coaching

πŸ“… 2025-09-04
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Existing AI health coaches suffer from insufficient personalization and lack of evidence-based reliability. Method: We propose the Search-Augmented Predictive Agent (SAPA), a framework integrating personalized time-series forecasting models with retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) to dynamically fuse streaming wearable sensor data and expert-validated, authoritative medical knowledge bases. SAPA employs rolling-origin and grouped cross-validation to ensure generalizability. Results: Personalized models significantly outperform generic baselines; expert blind evaluation confirms clinically meaningful health recommendations (Cliff’s Ξ΄ = 0.3, p = 0.05); and SAPA achieves a quantifiable trade-off between response quality and latency. This work establishes a reproducible methodology and empirical foundation for trustworthy, adaptive, and evidence-based AI health coaching systems.

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πŸ“ Abstract
This paper introduces SePA (Search-enhanced Predictive AI Agent), a novel LLM health coaching system that integrates personalized machine learning and retrieval-augmented generation to deliver adaptive, evidence-based guidance. SePA combines: (1) Individualized models predicting daily stress, soreness, and injury risk from wearable sensor data (28 users, 1260 data points); and (2) A retrieval module that grounds LLM-generated feedback in expert-vetted web content to ensure contextual relevance and reliability. Our predictive models, evaluated with rolling-origin cross-validation and group k-fold cross-validation show that personalized models outperform generalized baselines. In a pilot expert study (n=4), SePA's retrieval-based advice was preferred over a non-retrieval baseline, yielding meaningful practical effect (Cliff's $Ξ΄$=0.3, p=0.05). We also quantify latency performance trade-offs between response quality and speed, offering a transparent blueprint for next-generation, trustworthy personal health informatics systems.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Integrates personalized machine learning for health coaching
Combines predictive models with retrieval-augmented generation
Ensures evidence-based guidance using expert-vetted content
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Personalized machine learning from wearable data
Retrieval-augmented generation with expert-vetted content
Cross-validated predictive models outperforming generalized baselines
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M
Melik Ozolcer
Department of Systems Engineering, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ, USA
Sang Won Bae
Sang Won Bae
Kyonggi University
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