The Rendezvous Between Extreme Value Theory and Next-generation Networks

📅 2024-12-27
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Ensuring quality-of-service (QoS) in 6G extreme scenarios—including non-terrestrial networks (NTN), reconfigurable intelligent surface (RIS)-assisted communications, terahertz/millimeter-wave bands, and ultra-reliable low-latency communications (URLLC)—remains a fundamental challenge. Method: This paper establishes, for the first time, an interdisciplinary framework deeply integrating Extreme Value Theory (EVT) with next-generation networking (NGN). It systematically incorporates the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution, peaks-over-threshold (POT) methodology, and extreme-value analysis of stochastic processes to unify channel extremal modeling, URLLC performance bound derivation, and verifiable multi-dimensional QoS analysis. Contributions: (1) A novel EVT-driven paradigm for communication system design targeting extreme performance guarantees; (2) Explicit adaptation pathways of EVT to NTN, massive MIMO, and RIS systems; (3) Identification and structural characterization of five key open challenges; (4) Foundational theory and a reusable methodological toolkit enabling high-reliability, low-latency, and formally verifiable network design under extreme conditions.

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📝 Abstract
Promising technologies such as massive multiple-input and multiple-output, reconfigurable intelligent reflecting surfaces, non-terrestrial networks, millimetre wave communication, ultra-reliable lowlatency communication are envisioned as the enablers for next-generation (NG) networks. In contrast to conventional communication systems meeting specific average performance requirements, NG systems are expected to meet quality-of-service requirements in extreme scenarios as well. In this regard, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a powerful framework for the design of communication systems. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive survey of advances in communication that utilize EVT to characterize the extreme order statistics of interest. We first give an overview of the history of EVT and then elaborate on the fundamental theorems. Subsequently, we discuss different problems of interest in NG communication systems and how EVT can be utilized for their analysis. We finally point out the open challenges and future directions of EVT in NG communication systems.
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Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Robust Network Design
Extreme Conditions
Next-Generation Communication Technologies
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Extreme Value Theory
Advanced Networking Technologies
Next-Generation Networking Systems
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