End to End Autoencoder MLP Framework for Sepsis Prediction

πŸ“… 2025-08-26
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Early sepsis identification is hindered by irregular sampling, high missingness, and limitations of manual feature engineering in electronic health record (EHR) time-series data. To address these challenges, we propose an end-to-end deep learning framework that integrates an unsupervised autoencoder with a multilayer perceptron (MLP). The framework incorporates explicit missingness indicators, customized downsampling, and a non-overlapping dynamic sliding-window mechanism to enable automatic feature learning and real-time risk prediction from heterogeneous, noisy ICU time-series dataβ€”without handcrafted features. Evaluated on three independent ICU cohorts, our method achieves accuracies of 74.6%, 80.6%, and 93.5%, respectively, significantly outperforming conventional machine learning models. These results demonstrate strong cross-center robustness and clinical deployability.

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πŸ“ Abstract
Sepsis is a life threatening condition that requires timely detection in intensive care settings. Traditional machine learning approaches, including Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, and XGBoost, often rely on manual feature engineering and struggle with irregular, incomplete time-series data commonly present in electronic health records. We introduce an end-to-end deep learning framework integrating an unsupervised autoencoder for automatic feature extraction with a multilayer perceptron classifier for binary sepsis risk prediction. To enhance clinical applicability, we implement a customized down sampling strategy that extracts high information density segments during training and a non-overlapping dynamic sliding window mechanism for real-time inference. Preprocessed time series data are represented as fixed dimension vectors with explicit missingness indicators, mitigating bias and noise. We validate our approach on three ICU cohorts. Our end-to-end model achieves accuracies of 74.6 percent, 80.6 percent, and 93.5 percent, respectively, consistently outperforming traditional machine learning baselines. These results demonstrate the framework's superior robustness, generalizability, and clinical utility for early sepsis detection across heterogeneous ICU environments.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Automating sepsis prediction from irregular ICU time-series data
Overcoming manual feature engineering limitations in traditional models
Enhancing clinical applicability with real-time inference mechanisms
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

End-to-end autoencoder MLP for sepsis prediction
Custom downsampling and sliding window strategy
Fixed-dimension vectors with missingness indicators
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