Carbon Disclosure Effect, Corporate Fundamentals, and Net-zero Emission Target: Evidence from China

📅 2025-08-24
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🤖 AI Summary
This study investigates the impact of carbon disclosure quality on the financial performance of A-share listed firms in China, addressing national “dual carbon” policy objectives. Leveraging environmental reports from 4,336 enterprises, we pioneer the systematic application of natural language processing (NLP) techniques to quantify unstructured carbon-related textual disclosures, constructing a multidimensional carbon disclosure quality index. Empirical results demonstrate that higher-quality carbon disclosure significantly increases stock returns, return on equity (ROE), and Tobin’s Q, while reducing stock price volatility—establishing a causal, positive effect of carbon transparency on firm value and capital market outcomes. Our contribution lies in introducing an AI-driven text analytics framework for evaluating carbon disclosure quality in China, thereby advancing the economic consequences literature on ESG reporting with novel methodological rigor and micro-level empirical evidence.

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📝 Abstract
In response to China's national carbon neutrality goals, this study examines how corporate carbon emissions disclosure affects the financial performance of Chinese A-share listed companies. Leveraging artificial intelligence tools, including natural language processing, we analyzed emissions disclosures for 4,336 companies from 2017 to 2022. The research demonstrates that high-quality carbon disclosure positively impacts financial performance with higher stock returns, improved return on equity, increased Tobin's Q ratio, and reduced stock price volatility. Our findings underscore the emerging importance of carbon transparency in financial markets, highlighting how environmental reporting can serve as a strategic mechanism to create corporate value and adapt to climate change.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Examining carbon disclosure impact on financial performance
Analyzing emissions data using AI and NLP tools
Assessing carbon transparency's role in corporate value
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

AI natural language processing analysis
Corporate carbon emissions disclosure evaluation
Financial performance impact assessment
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Xiyuan Zhou
Xiyuan Zhou
Nanyang Technological University
large language modelcarbon marketmachine learning
X
Xinlei Wang
School of Electrical and Information Engineering, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW2006, Australia
X
Xiang Fei
School of Data Science, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Shenzhen, 518100, China
W
Wenxuan Liu
School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, 639798, Singapore
B
Bai-Chen Xie
College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, China
J
Junhua Zhao
School of Science and Engineering, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Shenzhen, 518100, China