CHIMERA Challenge: Biochemical Recurrence Prediction in Prostate Cancer Patients using multimodal datasets

📅 2026-08-21
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研究通过建立CHIMERA挑战,利用多模态数据集(包括mpMRI、病理学图像及临床变量)预测前列腺癌患者的生化复发时间,以提高预测模型的稳健性。
📝 Abstract
Biochemical recurrence (BCR), defined as any detectable prostate-specific antigen level after prostatectomy with confirmatory elevation, is widely used as a surrogate endpoint and typically assessed using clinical and pathological variables. Currently, no standardized benchmark exists for multimodal prognostic modeling in urological cancers, partly because curating heterogeneous multimodal data remains challenging. We developed the CHIMERA Challenge, a multimodal benchmark integrating preoperative mpMRI, post-prostatectomy histopathology, patient characteristics, and clinician-derived variables from 267 patients across two institutions. The dataset comprises 801 MRI sequences, 13 clinical variables per case, and 942 WSIs. Training (n=95), validation (n=23), and test (n=149) splits were established and hosted on the Grand Challenge platform. Baseline clinical and pathological characteristics did not differ significantly across splits. Models were evaluated on predicting time to BCR using the C-index. Post-challenge analyses tested how each model type performed when clinician-derived variables were withheld or randomized. Unimodal clinical models achieved the highest test C-index of 0.7402 but proved sensitive to the integrity of these variables, with performance collapsing toward chance (C approximately 0.50) when they were randomized. Multimodal models retained near-baseline performance when these variables were withheld (delta C at most 0.04), indicating their ability to recover prognostic signal directly from imaging data. CHIMERA is the first public, standardized multimodal benchmark for prostate cancer prognosis. Although models using only patient characteristics and clinician-derived variables yielded the highest leaderboard performance, multimodal models demonstrated greater robustness in clinically realistic scenarios where complete expert annotation is not guaranteed.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Biochemical Recurrence
Prostate Cancer
Multimodal Datasets
Benchmarking
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

multimodal benchmark
prostate cancer prognosis
CHIMERA Challenge
robustness
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