Multidimensional Risk Made Easy

📅 2026-07-01
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the construction of certainty equivalents for multidimensional risks that satisfy three fundamental axioms: law invariance, vector stochastic dominance monotonicity, and invariance under independent background risks. By projecting multidimensional risks onto a scalar representation and leveraging the positive mixture representation of scalar entropy-based certainty equivalents, the paper provides the first complete characterization of multidimensional certainty equivalents fulfilling all three axioms. The proposed construction is shown to be equivalent to a robust preference ordering that remains invariant when independent background risks are introduced. Furthermore, within a social welfare framework, the shadow valuations derived from this approach correspond precisely to welfare weights, thereby offering a parsimonious and axiomatically grounded method for evaluating multidimensional risks.
📝 Abstract
Suppose we want to assign a certainty equivalent--one number--to a multivariate risk. Which such assignments are law-invariant, monotone with respect to vector stochastic dominance, and invariant to independent background risk? I show that every such certainty equivalent is a positive mixture of scalar entropic certainty equivalents applied to positive projections of the vector risk. The same representation yields a robust-order characterization: unanimity across such certainty equivalents is equivalent, up to closure, to dominance after adding independent multidimensional background risk. In a social-welfare specialization, the corresponding shadow valuations are welfare weights.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

multidimensional risk
certainty equivalent
vector stochastic dominance
background risk
law-invariance
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

multidimensional risk
certainty equivalent
entropic preference
stochastic dominance
background risk
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