A Dual-Positive Monotone Parameterization for Multi-Segment Bids and a Validity Assessment Framework for Reinforcement Learning Agent-based Simulation of Electricity Markets

📅 2026-04-11
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This work addresses critical limitations in existing reinforcement learning agents for simulating monotonic, bounded, multi-step stepwise bidding strategies in electricity markets, where reliance on non-differentiable or non-bijective post-processing mappings induces gradient distortion and spurious convergence. To overcome these issues, the paper proposes a differentiable, bijective, and doubly positive monotonic parameterization that directly generates bidding strategies satisfying both monotonicity and boundedness constraints. Furthermore, it introduces a rigorous evaluation framework grounded in the distance to Nash equilibrium. This approach effectively eliminates gradient distortion, ensures stable convergence, and substantially enhances the credibility and theoretical rigor of market mechanism simulations.

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📝 Abstract
Reinforcement learning agent-based simulation (RL-ABS) has become an important tool for electricity market mechanism analysis and evaluation. In the modeling of monotone, bounded, multi-segment stepwise bids, existing methods typically let the policy network first output an unconstrained action and then convert it into a feasible bid curve satisfying monotonicity and boundedness through post-processing mappings such as sorting, clipping, or projection. However, such post-processing mappings often fail to satisfy continuous differentiability, injectivity, and invertibility at boundaries or kinks, thereby causing gradient distortion and leading to spurious convergence in simulation results. Meanwhile, most existing studies conduct mechanism analysis and evaluation mainly on the basis of training-curve convergence, without rigorously assessing the distance between the simulation outcomes and Nash equilibrium, which severely undermines the credibility of the results. To address these issues, this paper proposes...
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Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Reinforcement Learning Agent-based Simulation
Monotone Bids
Gradient Distortion
Nash Equilibrium
Electricity Markets
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Dual-Positive Monotone Parameterization
Reinforcement Learning Agent-based Simulation
Electricity Market Bidding
Differentiable Feasible Action Space
Nash Equilibrium Validation
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Zunnan Xu
Zunnan Xu
Tsinghua University
Computer VisionMachine Learning
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Zhaoxia Jing
School of Electric Power Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510640, Guangdong, China
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Zhanhua Pan
Department of Engineering, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4PY, U.K.