Global Sensitivity Analysis: a novel generation of mighty estimators based on rank statistics

📅 2026-05-22
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the inefficiency and instability of traditional global sensitivity analysis methods under small sample sizes. The authors propose a unified nonparametric estimation framework based on rank statistics and Chatterjee’s recently introduced empirical correlation coefficient, extending it for the first time to diverse sensitivity indices—including Cramér–von Mises, first-order Sobol’, metric space–based measures, and higher-order moments. Theoretical analysis establishes the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the method achieves superior computational efficiency and stability in small-sample settings, offering a theoretically grounded and practically effective new tool for global sensitivity analysis.
📝 Abstract
We propose a new statistical estimation framework for a large family of global sensitivity analysis indices. Our approach is based on rank statistics and uses an empirical correlation coefficient recently introduced by Chatterjee [9]. We show how to apply this approach to compute not only the Cram{é}r-von-Mises indices, which are directly related to Chatterjee's notion of correlation, but also first-order Sobol indices, general metric space indices and higher-order moment indices. We establish consistency of the resulting estimators and demonstrate their numerical efficiency, especially for small sample sizes. In addition, we prove a central limit theorem for the estimators of the first-order Sobol indices.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Global Sensitivity Analysis
Sobol indices
rank statistics
Cramér-von-Mises indices
statistical estimation
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

rank statistics
global sensitivity analysis
Chatterjee correlation
Sobol indices
empirical estimation
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Fabrice Gamboa
Fabrice Gamboa
IMT
Probabilités et Statistiques
P
Pierre Gremaud
Department of Mathematics. NC State University. Raleigh, North Carolina 27695, USA.
T
Thierry Klein
Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse; UMR5219. Université de Toulouse; ENAC - Ecole Nationale de l’Aviation Civile, Université de Toulouse, France
A
Agnès Lagnoux
Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse; UMR5219. Université de Toulouse; CNRS. UT2J, F-31058 Toulouse, France.