To Label or Not to Label: PALM -- A Predictive Model for Evaluating Sample Efficiency in Active Learning Models

πŸ“… 2025-07-21
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Traditional active learning (AL) evaluation focuses solely on final accuracy, failing to characterize the dynamic evolution of sample efficiency. To address this, we propose PALMβ€”a mathematically interpretable model that introduces the first four-dimensional evaluation framework: achievable accuracy, coverage efficiency, early-stage performance, and scalability. PALM unifies AL process modeling via learning trajectory analysis and integrates self-supervised embeddings for robust representation. Empirically validated on CIFAR and ImageNet subsets, PALM accurately predicts full learning curves using only early labeling feedback, significantly enhancing strategy selection under low annotation budgets. Our framework establishes the first dynamic AL evaluation paradigm that jointly ensures theoretical interpretability and practical predictive power, enabling principled, cross-strategy comparative analysis.

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πŸ“ Abstract
Active learning (AL) seeks to reduce annotation costs by selecting the most informative samples for labeling, making it particularly valuable in resource-constrained settings. However, traditional evaluation methods, which focus solely on final accuracy, fail to capture the full dynamics of the learning process. To address this gap, we propose PALM (Performance Analysis of Active Learning Models), a unified and interpretable mathematical model that characterizes AL trajectories through four key parameters: achievable accuracy, coverage efficiency, early-stage performance, and scalability. PALM provides a predictive description of AL behavior from partial observations, enabling the estimation of future performance and facilitating principled comparisons across different strategies. We validate PALM through extensive experiments on CIFAR-10/100 and ImageNet-50/100/200, covering a wide range of AL methods and self-supervised embeddings. Our results demonstrate that PALM generalizes effectively across datasets, budgets, and strategies, accurately predicting full learning curves from limited labeled data. Importantly, PALM reveals crucial insights into learning efficiency, data space coverage, and the scalability of AL methods. By enabling the selection of cost-effective strategies and predicting performance under tight budget constraints, PALM lays the basis for more systematic, reproducible, and data-efficient evaluation of AL in both research and real-world applications. The code is available at: https://github.com/juliamachnio/PALM.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Evaluates sample efficiency in active learning models
Predicts AL performance from partial observations
Compares AL strategies across datasets and budgets
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

PALM model evaluates AL with four key parameters
Predicts AL performance from partial observations
Validated across diverse datasets and AL methods
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