Temporal Risk on Satellites

📅 2026-08-20
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
本文针对卫星安全中时间变化的风险问题,提出了一种将时间作为显式维度的时态风险评估框架,通过五维时间能力模型估计不同时间段内的威胁。
📝 Abstract
Satellite vulnerabilities change over time as orbits shift, power margins tighten, and the space environment deteriorates. However, most cybersecurity risk frameworks still treat threats as static. In practice, the same exploit can be far more damaging during a critical maneuver than during routine operations. We propose a temporal risk assessment framework that makes time an explicit axis in satellite security analysis. It extends existing adversary behavior taxonomies with a five-dimensional temporal capability model and estimates exploitation difficulty across distinct temporal windows of a mission. Rather than producing a single risk score, the framework outputs a series of time-indexed likelihood-impact matrices. It discretizes missions into operationally meaningful time windows and environmental bands to show when systems are most exposed. This view helps operators avoid scheduling sensitive operations in high-risk periods and align defensive resources with a threat landscape that shifts over time.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Temporal Risk
Satellite Vulnerabilities
Cybersecurity Risk Frameworks
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Temporal Risk Assessment
Five-dimensional Temporal Capability Model
Time-indexed Likelihood-impact Matrices
Satellite Security
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