Quantum Maximum Likelihood Prediction via Hilbert Space Embeddings

📅 2026-02-20
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🤖 AI Summary
This work proposes a unified theoretical framework to elucidate the prediction mechanism of large language models in in-context learning. By adopting an information-geometric and statistical perspective, it interprets model training as an embedding of probability distributions into the space of quantum density operators and formulates in-context learning as maximum likelihood prediction over a specific class of quantum models. Leveraging quantum reverse information projection and the quantum Pythagorean theorem—combined with Hilbert space embeddings, quantum relative entropy, and non-asymptotic analysis—the study derives convergence rates and concentration inequalities in trace norm. This framework coherently characterizes both classical and quantum large language models, offering the first non-asymptotic performance guarantees for in-context learning grounded in quantum information geometry.

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📝 Abstract
Recent works have proposed various explanations for the ability of modern large language models (LLMs) to perform in-context prediction. We propose an alternative conceptual viewpoint from an information-geometric and statistical perspective. Motivated by Bach[2023], we model training as learning an embedding of probability distributions into the space of quantum density operators, and in-context learning as maximum-likelihood prediction over a specified class of quantum models. We provide an interpretation of this predictor in terms of quantum reverse information projection and quantum Pythagorean theorem when the class of quantum models is sufficiently expressive. We further derive non-asymptotic performance guarantees in terms of convergence rates and concentration inequalities, both in trace norm and quantum relative entropy. Our approach provides a unified framework to handle both classical and quantum LLMs.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

in-context learning
large language models
quantum maximum likelihood
information geometry
Hilbert space embeddings
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

quantum embedding
maximum likelihood prediction
in-context learning
information geometry
quantum relative entropy
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