🤖 AI Summary
This work addresses the challenge of modeling predictive uncertainty in subjective NLP tasks, where annotator disagreement introduces systematic divergence that conventional models struggle to capture. The authors propose a novel framework that optimizes ensemble diversity directly in prediction space, jointly learning ensemble weights, effective ensemble size, and calibration within an end-to-end training paradigm. A signed diversity regularizer is introduced to controllably preserve or suppress disagreement, thereby preventing ensemble collapse. The approach integrates Gumbel-Softmax relaxation, a soft F1 surrogate loss, class-weighted cross-entropy, and reliability-weighted diversity regularization. Evaluated on four subjective text classification benchmarks, the model achieves substantially improved probability calibration—reducing cross-entropy by 40–78% and outperforming multiple baselines in Brier score—while maintaining competitive F1 performance and more accurately aligning with the underlying annotator distribution.
📝 Abstract
Subjective NLP tasks often exhibit systematic annotator disagreement, requiring models that represent uncertainty rather than collapse it. We introduce Ensemble Diversity Optimization (EDO), a prediction-space framework that jointly optimizes ensemble weights, effective cardinality, and calibration through a unified differentiable objective. EDO learns ensemble composition and size end-to-end via Gumbel-Softmax relaxation and incorporates a signed diversity regularizer, tuned on validation data, to steer optimization toward either preserving or suppressing disagreement. This regularization prevents ensemble collapse and enables controlled navigation of the utility-calibration trade-off. The framework integrates a soft F1 surrogate, class-weighted cross-entropy to address imbalance, and reliability-weighted diversity to regulate intra-ensemble variability. Experiments on four subjective text-classification benchmarks (ArMIS, ConvAbuse, HS-Brexit, MD-Agreement) show that EDO substantially improves probabilistic calibration, reducing cross-entropy (40-78% depending on baseline) and lowering Brier scores relative to Soft-CE, Soft-MD, Top-5 Voting, and WEL, while maintaining competitive F1 and better alignment with annotator distributions. These results demonstrate that jointly optimizing ensemble structure with a signed diversity regularizer provides an efficient, model-agnostic approach for modeling human subjectivity in supervised learning.