Reconstructing Carbon Monoxide Reanalysis with Machine Learning

๐Ÿ“… 2026-02-12
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๐Ÿค– AI Summary
This study addresses the degradation in quality of atmospheric carbon monoxide (CO) reanalysis data caused by gaps in satellite observations, such as those from MOPITT, by introducing a machine learningโ€“based approach to systematically correct biases arising from missing measurements. The proposed method trains a model to learn the systematic differences between control simulations and reanalysis products, enabling high-fidelity reconstruction of monthly mean total column CO concentrations solely from model simulations when satellite data are unavailable. Experimental results demonstrate that this approach significantly enhances the continuity, stability, and reliability of CO reanalysis during observational gaps, offering an innovative and effective strategy for data gap-filling in atmospheric composition reanalysis.

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๐Ÿ“ Abstract
The Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service provides reanalysis products for atmospheric composition by combining model simulations with satellite observations. The quality of these products depends strongly on the availability of the observational data, which can vary over time as new satellite instruments become available or are discontinued, such as Carbon Monoxide (CO) observations of the Measurements Of Pollution In The Troposphere (MOPITT) satellite in early 2025. Machine learning offers a promising approach to compensate for such data losses by learning systematic discrepancies between model configurations. In this study, we investigate machine learning methods to predict monthly-mean total column of Carbon Monoxide re-analysis from a control model simulation.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Carbon Monoxide
reanalysis
satellite observations
data gaps
atmospheric composition
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

machine learning
carbon monoxide reanalysis
data gap compensation
atmospheric composition
model bias correction
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Paula Harder
Paula Harder
ML Scientist, ECMWF
machine learningclimate science
J
Johannes Flemming
European Center of Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF), Bonn, Germany