Limited-Information Estimation of Heterogeneous Agent Models

πŸ“… 2026-08-14
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πŸ€– AI Summary
This study addresses the limitation that local estimation in heterogeneous agent models typically relies on global assumptions by proposing a limited-information estimation method. By matching impulse responses and cross-sectional moments via sufficient statistics, this approach circumvents structural constraints on the remainder of the economy, enabling modular estimation and testing of model components. Applying this framework to a two-asset heterogeneous household model, we achieve parameter identification without imposing global restrictions. Consequently, this work effectively mitigates the sensitivity to misspecification inherent in traditional methods, providing a robust paradigm for the modular empirical analysis of complex macroeconomic models.
πŸ“ Abstract
We develop a method for estimating and testing a single block of a macroeconomic model with heterogeneous agents, without placing assumptions on the structure of the rest of the economy. In a large class of models, individual agents' decisions depend on the macroeconomy only through their expectations of the evolution of a finite-dimensional vector of "sufficient statistics" (e.g., asset returns or aggregate earnings). Our estimator selects the structural parameters that provide the best model-consistent fit between empirical impulse responses with respect to identified macro shocks of (a) cross-sectional moments of agent choices (e.g., moments of consumption) and (b) the vector of sufficient statistics. In a simulation illustration, we estimate a two-asset heterogeneous household model block without restricting production, firm investment, financial intermediation, monetary policy, trade, etc.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Heterogeneous Agent Models
Limited-Information Estimation
Sufficient Statistics
Macroeconomic Modeling
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Limited-Information Estimation
Heterogeneous Agent Models
Sufficient Statistics
Impulse Response Matching
Cross-sectional Moments
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