Leveraging contextual events on structure-aware next activity prediction

📅 2026-09-08
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
本文通过引入基于实例图的方法并结合上下文信息,利用图神经网络改进了流程中下一个活动的预测性能。
📝 Abstract
Predictive process monitoring aims at forecasting various aspects of running processes. Among the different tasks, next activity prediction represents the most extensively investigated. However, only a limited number of existing approaches explicitly encode contextual information, i.e., the environmental conditions in which the process is executed, typically modeled through event log attributes or aggregated measures. In this paper, an approach based on the concept of Instance Graphs is introduced. To incorporate contextual process instances, several encoding strategies are proposed and evaluated by measuring their impact on prediction performance. For each encoding strategy, a set of prefix-Instance Graphs is generated and subsequently provided as input to a Graph Neural Network for the classification task. The proposed approach is evaluated on multiple real-world event logs, and the experimental results demonstrate that incorporating contextual process instances benefits prediction performance.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

contextual information
next activity prediction
event logs
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Instance Graphs
Contextual Information
Graph Neural Network
Next Activity Prediction
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A
Alessandro Mele
Department of Information Engineering, Polytechnic University of Marche, Ancona, Marche, Italy
C
Claudia Diamantini
Department of Information Engineering, Polytechnic University of Marche, Ancona, Marche, Italy
D
Domenico Potena
Department of Information Engineering, Polytechnic University of Marche, Ancona, Marche, Italy