🤖 AI Summary
本文通过引入马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛循环来解决贝叶斯推理问题,并开发了自适应集成调度器以调整外部参数,发现非高斯模型可以产生非零净功输出。
📝 Abstract
The concept of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) cycles, an analogy to cyclic processes in heat engines, is presented in order to examine Bayesian inference problems. In this effort, we develop adaptive ensemble schedulers that allow the tuning of external parameters of a Bayesian canonical ensemble during an MCMC run, realising the MCMC cycles in practice. We run these cycles on different statistical models. As a fundamental insight, we find (both theoretically and in practice) that such systems can produce a non-zero net work output if and only if the considered model is non-Gaussian. As such, they may serve as a measure of non-Gaussianity in Bayesian inference, which we test on an example from supernova cosmology.