🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the challenge of parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations featuring locally Lipschitz drift and Hölder continuous multiplicative diffusion, where existing methods often lack strong convergence, state-space preservation, or computational efficiency. The authors propose an explicit pseudo-likelihood estimator based on numerical splitting schemes, leveraging a novel decomposition of the SDE combined with the Lamperti transform and reducibility to construct both Lie–Trotter and Strang splitting formats. This approach yields, for the first time, an explicit estimator that simultaneously guarantees strong mean-square convergence, preserves the state space, and exhibits robustness to discrete time steps. The estimator is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. Both theoretical analysis and simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed method substantially outperforms existing techniques in terms of estimation accuracy and computational efficiency.
📝 Abstract
We study parameter estimation for univariate stochastic differential equations with locally Lipschitz drift and Hölder continuous multiplicative diffusion, a class commonly arising in several applications. Existing inference methods typically rely on either the Euler-Maruyama discretisation, despite its lack of strong convergence and failure to preserve the state space, or on approximations, e.g. Gaussian approximation or truncation of Hermite's expansions, impacting on their stability and computational efficiency. We introduce the first explicit pseudo-likelihood estimators based on numerical splitting schemes that are both strong mean-square convergent and state space preserving for this class of SDEs. Our approach is based on a novel decomposition of the SDE that exploits reducibility and the Lamperti transform, leading to Lie-Trotter (LT) and Strang splitting schemes yielding explicit pseudo-likelihoods and maximum likelihood estimators based on them. We prove strong mean-square convergence, state space preservation, and improved robustness with respect to the discretisation step compared to Euler-Maruyama-based methods. We further establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the LT estimator. Because the proposed numerical scheme couples drift and diffusion parameters in the pseudo-likelihood, the asymptotic analysis requires new proof techniques. Extensive simulations demonstrate that the proposed estimators outperform existing methods in both accuracy and computational efficiency.