Mapping AI Economic Complexity

📅 2026-09-15
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
该研究通过分析2007-2023年的出口数据,使用经济复杂性框架评估各国在AI相关商品上的生产能力及多样化潜力。
📝 Abstract
Green economic complexity provides a generalizable framework for examining countries' productive capabilities in a defined product set. We apply this framework to AI-enabling goods within the full product space, linking current specialization with adjacent diversification opportunities. Using BACI exports for 2007-2023 and 103 AI-enabling goods, we measure complexity-weighted specialization (AECI), product-level adjacent opportunities (AIAP), and average complexity-weighted relatedness of remaining candidates (AECP). In 2023, Japan leads AECI, while China leads AECP; portfolio breadth accounts for much of the variation in raw AECI. Initial raw potential is positively associated with subsequent changes in the AI-enabling export share, but its associations with changes in AECI and specialization counts are not statistically significant at the 5% level. Our contribution is a trade-based assessment of AI-enabling productive capabilities and related opportunities. The results and public dashboard provide a preliminary complement to publication and patent indicators, not a comprehensive measure of national AI performance or a validated forecast of diversification.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

AI-enabling goods
economic complexity
productive capabilities
specialization
diversification
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

AI-enabling goods
complexity-weighted specialization
adjacent opportunities
trade-based assessment
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Daeun Moon
Daeun Moon
Yonsei Unviersity
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Yeokyung Hwang
Department of Sociology, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA; Knowledge Lab, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA
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Junseok Hwang
Technology Management, Economics and Policy Program (TEMEP), Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
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Dawoon Jeong
Department of Sociology, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA; Knowledge Lab, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA