Bus-Conditioned Zero-Shot Trajectory Generation via Task Arithmetic

2026-02-13

Technology Category

• Planning, Routing, and Scheduling: Planning with Language Models
• Natural Language Processing: Generation
• Humans and AI: Human-Aware Planning and Behavior Prediction

Application Category

• Graph Algorithms and Modeling for the Web: Foundation models and LLMs for Web-related graphs
• Search and Retrieval-Augmented AI: Multilingual and cross-lingual Web search
• Social Networks and Social Media: Generative AI / large language models and their impact on social systems

Abstract

Mobility trajectory data provide essential support for smart city applications. However, such data are often difficult to obtain. Meanwhile, most existing trajectory generation methods implicitly assume that at least a subset of real mobility data from target city is available, which limits their applicability in data-inaccessible scenarios. In this work, we propose a new problem setting, called bus-conditioned zero-shot trajectory generation, where no mobility trajectories from a target city are accessible. The generation process relies solely on source city mobility data and publicly available bus timetables from both cities. Under this setting, we propose MobTA, the first approach to introduce task arithmetic into trajectory generation. MobTA models the parameter shift from bus-timetable-based trajectory generation to mobility trajectory generation in source city, and applies this shift to target city through arithmetic operations on task vectors. This enables trajectory generation that reflects target-city mobility patterns without requiring any real mobility data from it. Furthermore, we theoretically analyze MobTA's stability across base and instruction-tuned LLMs. Extensive experiments show that MobTA significantly outperforms existing methods, and achieves performance close to models finetuned using target city mobility trajectories.

Problem

• zero-shot trajectory generation
• bus-conditioned
• mobility data scarcity
• cross-city transfer
• trajectory synthesis

Innovation

• zero-shot trajectory generation
• task arithmetic
• bus-conditioned generation
• parameter shift
• mobility data synthesis