Think Locally, Explain Globally: Graph-Guided LLM Investigations via Local Reasoning and Belief Propagation

📅 2026-01-25
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
📄 PDF
🤖 AI Summary
This work addresses the limitations of large language models (LLMs) in open-ended investigative tasks, where constrained context windows and complex evidence dependencies hinder the generation of coherent and reliable global explanations. To overcome this, the authors propose the Explanation-on-Graph (EoG) framework, which formulates the task as abductive reasoning over a dependency graph. Within EoG, an LLM performs local evidence extraction and annotation, while a deterministic controller orchestrates graph traversal, state maintenance, and belief propagation to collaboratively construct a minimal explanation frontier. By decoupling semantic reasoning from control logic and integrating a graph-structured belief propagation mechanism, the framework enables dynamic evidence aggregation and autonomous hypothesis revision. Evaluated on the ITBench diagnostic benchmark, EoG achieves a seven-fold average improvement in Majority-at-k entity F1 over ReAct baselines, substantially enhancing explanation consistency and reliability.

Technology Category

Application Category

📝 Abstract
LLM agents excel when environments are mostly static and the needed information fits in a model's context window, but they often fail in open-ended investigations where explanations must be constructed by iteratively mining evidence from massive, heterogeneous operational data. These investigations exhibit hidden dependency structure: entities interact, signals co-vary, and the importance of a fact may only become clear after other evidence is discovered. Because the context window is bounded, agents must summarize intermediate findings before their significance is known, increasing the risk of discarding key evidence. ReAct-style agents are especially brittle in this regime. Their retrieve-summarize-reason loop makes conclusions sensitive to exploration order and introduces run-to-run non-determinism, producing a reliability gap where Pass-at-k may be high but Majority-at-k remains low. Simply sampling more rollouts or generating longer reasoning traces does not reliably stabilize results, since hypotheses cannot be autonomously checked as new evidence arrives and there is no explicit mechanism for belief bookkeeping and revision. In addition, ReAct entangles semantic reasoning with controller duties such as tool orchestration and state tracking, so execution errors and plan drift degrade reasoning while consuming scarce context. We address these issues by formulating investigation as abductive reasoning over a dependency graph and proposing EoG (Explanations over Graphs), a disaggregated framework in which an LLM performs bounded local evidence mining and labeling (cause vs symptom) while a deterministic controller manages traversal, state, and belief propagation to compute a minimal explanatory frontier. On a representative ITBench diagnostics task, EoG improves both accuracy and run-to-run consistency over ReAct baselines, including a 7x average gain in Majority-at-k entity F1.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

open-ended investigation
context window limitation
belief propagation
reasoning consistency
evidence mining
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

abductive reasoning
dependency graph
belief propagation
disaggregated framework
LLM agent
Saurabh Jha
Saurabh Jha
Sr. Research Scientist, IBM
ML for SystemsSystems for MLReliability
R
Rohan R. Arora
IBM Research, Yorktown Heights, New York, USA
Bhavya
Bhavya
Research Scientist, IBM Research
AINatural Language ProcessingText Mining
N
Noah Zheutlin
IBM Research, Yorktown Heights, New York, USA
P
Paulina Toro Isaza
IBM Research, Yorktown Heights, New York, USA
L
Laura Shwartz
IBM Research, Yorktown Heights, New York, USA
Y
Yu Deng
IBM Research, Yorktown Heights, New York, USA
D
Daby M. Sow
IBM Research, Yorktown Heights, New York, USA
R
R. Mahindru
IBM Research, Yorktown Heights, New York, USA
R
Ruchir Puri
IBM Research, Yorktown Heights, New York, USA