Unravelling the (In)compatibility of Statistical-Parity and Equalized-Odds

📅 2026-01-26
📈 Citations: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This study investigates the compatibility conflict between statistical parity and equalized odds fairness criteria under scenarios characterized by base rate imbalance across sensitive groups or unreliable labeling. Through probabilistic modeling and theoretical analysis, it systematically demonstrates— for the first time—how disparities in base rates inherently preclude the simultaneous satisfaction of both fairness notions, and derives necessary and sufficient conditions for their incompatibility. The work further advocates for assessing base rate imbalance risks prior to adopting statistical parity, thereby offering a rigorous theoretical foundation and practical guidance for the design of fair algorithms, policy formulation, and compliance auditing.

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📝 Abstract
A key challenge in employing data, algorithms and data-driven systems is to adhere to the principle of fairness and justice. Statistical fairness measures belong to an important category of technical/formal mechanisms for detecting fairness issues in data and algorithms. In this contribution we study the relations between two types of statistical fairness measures namely Statistical-Parity and Equalized-Odds. The Statistical-Parity measure does not rely on having ground truth, i.e., (objectively) labeled target attributes. This makes Statistical-Parity a suitable measure in practice for assessing fairness in data and data classification algorithms. Therefore, Statistical-Parity is adopted in many legal and professional frameworks for assessing algorithmic fairness. The Equalized-Odds measure, on the contrary, relies on having (reliable) ground-truth, which is not always feasible in practice. Nevertheless, there are several situations where the Equalized-Odds definition should be satisfied to enforce false prediction parity among sensitive social groups. We present a novel analyze of the relation between Statistical-Parity and Equalized-Odds, depending on the base-rates of sensitive groups. The analysis intuitively shows how and when base-rate imbalance causes incompatibility between Statistical-Parity and Equalized-Odds measures. As such, our approach provides insight in (how to make design) trade-offs between these measures in practice. Further, based on our results, we plea for examining base-rate (im)balance and investigating the possibility of such an incompatibility before enforcing or relying on the Statistical-Parity criterion. The insights provided, we foresee, may trigger initiatives to improve or adjust the current practice and/or the existing legal frameworks.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Statistical-Parity
Equalized-Odds
algorithmic fairness
base-rate imbalance
fairness measures
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Statistical-Parity
Equalized-Odds
base-rate imbalance
algorithmic fairness
fairness incompatibility
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