Efficient identification of linear, parameter-varying, and nonlinear systems with noise models

📅 2025-04-16
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This work addresses the unified identification of linear time-invariant (LTI), linear parameter-varying (LPV), and nonlinear (NL) dynamical systems under complex noise models. Methodologically, it introduces a general state-space framework that is both theoretically consistent and computationally efficient. The core contribution lies in the first extension of the well-established deterministic/stochastic decoupling paradigm—previously confined to LTI systems—to LPV and NL settings, enabling joint optimization and co-adaptation of dynamics structure and noise model. Nonlinear mappings are parameterized via neural networks, while constrained quasi-Newton optimization with automatic differentiation enables end-to-end minimization of prediction error. Empirically, the method achieves significantly higher accuracy than existing ANN-based approaches across diverse benchmark tasks, reduces training time from hours to seconds, and maintains statistical consistency and strong generalization performance.

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📝 Abstract
We present a general system identification procedure capable of estimating of a broad spectrum of state-space dynamical models, including linear time-invariant (LTI), linear parameter-varying} (LPV), and nonlinear (NL) dynamics, along with rather general classes of noise models. Similar to the LTI case, we show that for this general class of model structures, including the NL case, the model dynamics can be separated into a deterministic process and a stochastic noise part, allowing to seamlessly tune the complexity of the combined model both in terms of nonlinearity and noise modeling. We parameterize the involved nonlinear functional relations by means of artificial neural-networks (ANNs), although alternative parametric nonlinear mappings can also be used. To estimate the resulting model structures, we optimize a prediction-error-based criterion using an efficient combination of a constrained quasi-Newton approach and automatic differentiation, achieving training times in the order of seconds compared to existing state-of-the-art ANN methods which may require hours for models of similar complexity. We formally establish the consistency guarantees for the proposed approach and demonstrate its superior estimation accuracy and computational efficiency on several benchmark LTI, LPV, and NL system identification problems.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Identify diverse dynamical systems with noise models
Separate deterministic and stochastic parts in nonlinear systems
Optimize model estimation using efficient computational methods
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

General system identification for LTI, LPV, and NL dynamics
Parameterize nonlinear relations using artificial neural networks
Efficient optimization via quasi-Newton and automatic differentiation
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Alberto Bemporad
Alberto Bemporad
Professor of Control Systems, IMT Lucca, Italy
control systemsmodel predictive controlautomotive controlquadratic programmingnonlinear system identification
R
Roland Tóth
Control Systems Group, Eindhoven University of Technology, Eindhoven, The Netherlands, and Systems and Control Laboratory, HUN-REN Institute for Computer Science and Control, Budapest, Hungary