Enhancing Human Mobility Prediction with Spatially Aware LLM-based Multi-Agent Systems

📅 2026-09-12
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
该研究针对LLM在人类移动预测中忽视空间上下文的问题,提出一种基于多代理的空间感知框架,通过结合行为模式和实际空间约束提高预测准确性。
📝 Abstract
Predicting a user's next POI is a task in human mobility modeling, yet LLM-based approaches focus on semantic reasoning from previous mobility records, while neglecting real-world spatial context. However, human mobility is inherently shaped by spatial cognition, including geographic distance and neighborhood context. This issue is further compounded by prior evidence that LLMs often struggle with spatial reasoning tasks, including distance estimation and geographically biased prediction. To address these limitations, we propose our framework, a multi-agent LLM framework that decomposes next-POI prediction into three stages: Firstly, a Pattern Extraction Agent that captures temporal and categorical mobility patterns from trajectory history; Secondly, a Spatial Reasoning Agent that structures candidate activity choices by combining behavioral preferences with real-world spatial constraints, including geographic distance, road network distance, and neighborhood affiliation; and Thirdly, a Decision Synthesis Agent that integrates behavioral patterns and spatial reasoning for final prediction. Experiments on the NYC benchmark dataset with two LLM backbones show improvements over baseline methods, with up to 493% Hit@1 improvement and 37% relative improvement in Hit@5. Ablations show that combining neighborhood affiliation with distance-based features generally outperforms distance-only settings, and that the Spatial Reasoning Agent plays a crucial role in final prediction by integrating behavioral preferences with real-world spatial constraints, especially for smaller models. Overall, the results highlight the importance of spatial reasoning in mobility prediction. Accurate next-POI prediction requires combining behavioral patterns with explicit real-world spatial constraints, and multi-agent decomposition provides an effective structure for organizing these forms of context.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Human Mobility Prediction
Spatial Context
LLM-based Approaches
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

multi-agent LLM framework
spatial reasoning
human mobility prediction
next-POI prediction
behavioral patterns
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Shangyu Lou
University of California, Santa Barbara & San Diego State University
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Ziqi Cui
Politecnico di Milano