Event-Time Order-Flow Memory, Operational-Time Impact, and Subordinated Market Observables

📅 2026-09-12
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
本文通过分离事件时间和操作时间,解释了交易符号的长记忆性和大额订单影响的平方根律,提供了一个时钟感知框架。
📝 Abstract
We consider two canonical market-microstructure regularities: the long-memory of trade signs and the square-root law of meta-order impact. The point is not to propose new empirical laws, but to separate the clocks on which existing laws are defined. The sign-memory law is an event-time statement about the ordering and fragmentation of hidden orders. The square-root impact law is an operational-time statement about front motion in a locally linear latent order book. Starting from a discrete-time random-walk bid/ask reaction--diffusion order book with a separate event clock, we identify an event-time imbalance reduction, derive the operational-time front and impact equations in the locally linear regime, and then subordinate both sign and impact observables to calendar time. Fractional or tempered clock effects enter through this event-to-calendar projection, not through a different operational-time impact mechanism. This gives a compact clock-aware framework in which event-time sign persistence, operational-time square-root impact, and anomalous calendar-time effects appear as distinct but compatible consequences of a common order-book representation.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Event-Time
Operational-Time
Market Microstructure
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

event-time order-flow memory
operational-time impact
subordinated market observables
clock-aware framework
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C
Christopher Angstmann
School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia
T
Tim Gebbie
Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, Western Cape, South Africa