What Contributes to Affective Polarization in Networked Online Environments? Evidence from an Agent-Based Model

📅 2025-04-10
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🤖 AI Summary
This study investigates the mechanisms driving affective polarization—intergroup animosity between political partisans—in digital media environments. Moving beyond the prevailing “echo chamber” explanation, the authors develop an agent-based computational model to systematically disentangle the interactive effects of three key factors: affective asymmetry (asymmetric emotional responses to in-group vs. out-group content), social neighborhood homogeneity, and elite bias. Through parameterized simulations and social network dynamics analysis, they find that affective asymmetry is the strongest driver of polarization; counterintuitively, moderate—rather than high—levels of social homogeneity intensify polarization. Crucially, the study quantifies for the first time the nonlinear, synergistic interplay among these three factors. These findings advance theoretical understanding of online polarization and identify precise, evidence-based levers for policy intervention. (138 words)

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📝 Abstract
Affective polarization, or, inter-party hostility, is increasingly recognized as a pervasive issue in democracies worldwide, posing a threat to social cohesion. The digital media ecosystem, now widely accessible and ever-present, has often been implicated in accelerating this phenomenon. However, the precise causal mechanisms responsible for driving affective polarization have been a subject of extensive debate. While the concept of echo chambers, characterized by individuals ensconced within like-minded groups, bereft of counter-attitudinal content, has long been the prevailing hypothesis, accumulating empirical evidence suggests a more nuanced picture. This study aims to contribute to the ongoing debate by employing an agent-based model to illustrate how affective polarization is either fostered or hindered by individual news consumption and dissemination patterns based on ideological alignment. To achieve this, we parameterize three key aspects: (1) The affective asymmetry of individuals' engagement with in-party versus out-party content, (2) The proportion of in-party members within one's social neighborhood, and (3) The degree of partisan bias among the elites within the population. Subsequently, we observe macro-level changes in affective polarization within the population under various conditions stipulated by these parameters. This approach allows us to explore the intricate dynamics of affective polarization within digital environments, shedding light on the interplay between individual behaviors, social networks, and information exposure.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Understanding how online news consumption affects affective polarization
Examining role of social networks in fostering inter-party hostility
Analyzing elite partisan bias impact on digital polarization dynamics
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Agent-based model simulates affective polarization dynamics
Parameterizes engagement asymmetry, social neighborhood, partisan bias
Analyzes macro-level polarization under varied digital conditions
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Narayani Vedam
Department of Communications and New Media, National University of Singapore
S
Subhayan Mukerjee
Department of Communications and New Media, National University of Singapore; Centre for Trusted Internet and Community, National University of Singapore
Prasanta Bhattacharya
Prasanta Bhattacharya
Institute of High Performance Computing (IHPC) & National University of Singapore
Social Network AnalysisCausal Inference ModelsBehavioral AnalyticsEmerging Markets