Probabilistic Predictions of Process-Induced Deformation in Carbon/Epoxy Composites Using a Deep Operator Network

📅 2025-12-14
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To address the challenge of predicting process-induced distortions (PID) in carbon fiber/epoxy composites during autoclave curing—arising from thermal expansion mismatch and resin shrinkage—this work proposes a generalizable, calibratable, and uncertainty-quantified PID prediction framework integrating physics-informed modeling and data-driven learning. We innovatively employ a FiLM-modulated DeepONet architecture that couples local cure state variables, trained via simulation-based pretraining followed by experimental end-state fine-tuning. Uncertainty quantification and inverse optimization of the cure cycle are achieved through ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI). Validated on multi-scenario non-isothermal curing of the AS4/epoxy system, the framework achieves temporal predictions of distortion, viscosity, and degree of cure with end-state errors under 5%. It further generates optimal cure profiles subject to uncertainty constraints, reducing PID by up to 22%.

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📝 Abstract
Fiber reinforcement and polymer matrix respond differently to manufacturing conditions due to mismatch in coefficient of thermal expansion and matrix shrinkage during curing of thermosets. These heterogeneities generate residual stresses over multiple length scales, whose partial release leads to process-induced deformation (PID), requiring accurate prediction and mitigation via optimized non-isothermal cure cycles. This study considers a unidirectional AS4 carbon fiber/amine bi-functional epoxy prepreg and models PID using a two-mechanism framework that accounts for thermal expansion/shrinkage and cure shrinkage. The model is validated against manufacturing trials to identify initial and boundary conditions, then used to generate PID responses for a diverse set of non-isothermal cure cycles (time-temperature profiles). Building on this physics-based foundation, we develop a data-driven surrogate based on Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets). A DeepONet is trained on a dataset combining high-fidelity simulations with targeted experimental measurements of PID. We extend this to a Feature-wise Linear Modulation (FiLM) DeepONet, where branch-network features are modulated by external parameters, including the initial degree of cure, enabling prediction of time histories of degree of cure, viscosity, and deformation. Because experimental data are available only at limited time instances (for example, final deformation), we use transfer learning: simulation-trained trunk and branch networks are fixed and only the final layer is updated using measured final deformation. Finally, we augment the framework with Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) to quantify uncertainty under experimental conditions and to support optimization of cure schedules for reduced PID in composites.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Predict process-induced deformation in carbon/epoxy composites using deep learning.
Model residual stresses from thermal and cure shrinkage in composites.
Quantify uncertainty and optimize cure cycles to reduce deformation.
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

DeepONet surrogate model for composite deformation prediction
Transfer learning with limited experimental data for accuracy
Ensemble Kalman Inversion quantifies uncertainty in predictions
E
Elham Kiyani
Department of Applied Mathematics, Brown University, USA
A
Amit Makarand Deshpande
Center for Composite Materials, University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware 19716, USA; Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware 19716, USA; Department of Material Science and Engineering, University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware 19716, USA
Madhura Limaye
Madhura Limaye
Clemson University
Finite element analysisPolymer compositesManufacturing process simulationsThermal analysisComputational mechanics
Zhiwei Gao
Zhiwei Gao
Brown University
Uncertainty quantificationBayesian inverse problemsScientific machine learning
Sai Aditya Pradeep
Sai Aditya Pradeep
Reseach and Development Engineer, Center for Composite Materials, University of Delaware
Polymer ProcessingThermoplastic CompositesFoamsPolymer PhysicsAI for Composites
Srikanth Pilla
Srikanth Pilla
Professor and Director, Center for Composite Materials, University of Delaware
G
Gang Li
Department of Mechanical Engineering, Clemson University, Clemson, SC 29634, USA
Z
Zhen Li
Department of Mechanical Engineering, Clemson University, Clemson, SC 29634, USA
George Em Karniadakis
George Em Karniadakis
The Charles Pitts Robinson and John Palmer Barstow Professor of Applied Mathematics and Engineering
Math+Machine LearningProbabilistic Scientific ComputingStochastic Multiscale Modeling