π€ AI Summary
Current protein language models (pLMs) lack a systematic, large-scale benchmark specifically designed for viral proteins, hindering reliable evaluation of their performance in predicting mutational effects and informing antigen selection. To address this gap, this study introduces ViroGymβthe first comprehensive benchmark encompassing diverse viruses and phenotypes, integrating 79 deep mutational scanning experiments and influenza neutralization data, along with a novel task for forecasting SARS-CoV-2 prevalent mutations. By aligning in vitro experimental measurements with pLM predictions, the work demonstrates that experimentally validated models can effectively anticipate real-world dominant viral variants. This framework offers a robust foundation for rational vaccine target selection and proactive pandemic forecasting.
π Abstract
Protein language models (pLMs) have shown strong potential in prediction of the functional effects of missense variants in zero-shot settings. Despite this progress, benchmarking pLMs for viral proteins remains limited and systematic strategies for integrating in silico metrics with in vitro validation to guide antigen and target selection are underdeveloped. Here, we introduce ViroGym, a comprehensive benchmark designed to evaluate variant effect prediction in viral proteins and to facilitate selecting rational antigen candidates. We curated 79 deep mutational scanning (DMS) assays encompassing eukaryotic viruses, collectively comprising 552,937 mutated amino acid sequences across 7 distinct phenotypic readouts, and 21 influenza virus neutralisation tasks and a real-world predictive task for SARS-CoV-2. We benchmark well-established pLMs on fitness landscapes, antigenic diversity, and pandemic forecasting to provide a framework for vaccine selection, and show that pLMs selected using in vitro experimental data excel at predicting dominant circulating mutations in real world.