From Text to Returns: Using Large Language Models for Mutual Fund Portfolio Optimization and Risk-Adjusted Allocation

📅 2025-12-05
📈 Citations: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This study investigates the application of large language models (LLMs) to mutual fund portfolio optimization and risk-adjusted asset allocation. Addressing the limitation of conventional methods in integrating unstructured economic signals with real-time market data, we propose a retrieval-augmented generation (RAG)-driven, risk-aware asset allocation framework. The framework integrates Phi-2, Mistral-7B, and our proprietary Zypher-7B model, jointly leveraging macroeconomic indicators and classical financial optimization techniques. Our key contribution is the first native LLM-based implementation of risk-adjusted decision-making: Zypher-7B—enhanced for contextual modeling—significantly outperforms baseline models on critical metrics including Sharpe ratio and maximum drawdown. Empirical evaluation demonstrates improved situational adaptability and robustness of investment strategies without compromising computational efficiency, thereby substantiating the tangible value of generative AI in active asset management.

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📝 Abstract
Generative AI (GenAI) has enormous potential for improving two critical areas in investing, namely portfolio optimization (choosing the best combination of assets) and risk management (protecting those investments). Our study works at this intersection, using Large Language Models (LLMs) to upgrade how financial decisions are traditionally made. This research specifically tested how well advanced LLMs like Microsoft Phi 2, Mistral 7B, and Zypher 7B can create practical, risk-aware strategies for investing mutual funds in different sectors of the economy. Our method is sophisticated: it combines a Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) pipeline, which enables the LLM to check external, real-time data with standard financial optimization methods. The model's advice is context-aware because we feed it large economic signals, like changes in the global economy. The Zypher 7B model was the clear winner. It consistently produced strategies that maximized investment returns while delivering better risk-adjusted results than the other models. Its ability to process complex relationships and contextual information makes it a highly powerful tool for financial allocation. In conclusion, our findings show that GenAI substantially improves performance over basic allocation methods. By connecting GenAI to real-world financial applications, this work lays the groundwork for creating smarter, more efficient, and more adaptable solutions for asset management professionals.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Using LLMs to optimize mutual fund portfolios for better returns.
Applying AI to enhance risk management in investment strategies.
Integrating real-time data with financial models for smarter asset allocation.
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Using LLMs for portfolio optimization and risk management
Combining RAG pipeline with financial optimization methods
Zypher 7B model maximizes returns with risk-adjusted results
Abrar Hossain
Abrar Hossain
The University of Toledo
Stochastic OptimizationHigh Performance ComputingDistributed Computing
M
Mufakir Qamar Ansari
Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Toledo, 2801 W Bancroft St, Toledo, 43606, OH, USA
H
Haziq Jeelani
Claremont Graduate University, 150 E. 10th Street, Claremont, 91711, CA, USA
M
Monia Digra
School of Computer Science Engineering and Technology, Bennett University, Plot No. 8-11, Tech Zone II, Greater Noida, 201310, Uttar Pradesh, India
F
Fayeq Jeelani Syed
Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Toledo, 2801 W Bancroft St, Toledo, 43606, OH, USA