An Empirical Study on Ensemble-Based Transfer Learning Bayesian Optimisation with Mixed Variable Types

📅 2026-01-22
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🤖 AI Summary
This work addresses the limited sample efficiency of Bayesian optimization in expensive black-box function optimization by proposing an ensemble-based transfer learning approach that effectively leverages relevant historical data to enhance optimization performance. The method integrates predictions from multiple surrogate models using a positivity-constrained weighting strategy grounded in regularized regression and incorporates a mechanism for detecting and responding to negative transfer. Key contributions include the introduction of a positivity-constrained ensemble weighting scheme coupled with a robust warm-starting mechanism, the construction of three new benchmarks specifically designed for real-time transfer learning in Bayesian optimization, and comprehensive experimental validation demonstrating that the proposed approach significantly outperforms existing methods while maintaining strong reproducibility.

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📝 Abstract
Bayesian optimisation is a sample efficient method for finding a global optimum of expensive black-box objective functions. Historic datasets from related problems can be exploited to help improve performance of Bayesian optimisation by adapting transfer learning methods to various components of the Bayesian optimisation pipeline. In this study we perform an empirical analysis of various ensemble-based transfer learning Bayesian optimisation methods and pipeline components. We expand on previous work in the literature by contributing some specific pipeline components, and three new real-time transfer learning Bayesian optimisation benchmarks. In particular we propose to use a weighting strategy for ensemble surrogate model predictions based on regularised regression with weights constrained to be positive, and a related component for handling the case when transfer learning is not improving Bayesian optimisation performance. We find that in general, two components that help improve transfer learning Bayesian optimisation performance are warm start initialisation and constraining weights used with ensemble surrogate model to be positive.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Bayesian optimisation
transfer learning
ensemble methods
mixed variable types
black-box optimisation
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

ensemble-based transfer learning
Bayesian optimisation
positive weight constraint
warm start initialisation
mixed variable types
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