Preliminary Insights in Chronos Frequency Data Understanding and Reconstruction

2026-05-07

AI Summary

This study systematically investigates the frequency-domain encoding capabilities of the Chronos foundation model, addressing a critical gap in understanding how such models represent fundamental signal properties. Through controlled experiments using discrete sinusoidal signals and a lightweight online Minimum Description Length (MDL) probing framework, the work examines the existence, separability, and cross-spectral fidelity of internal frequency representations within the Chronos decoder. The research reveals, for the first time, a degradation in representation quality in high-frequency regions, thereby delineating both the strengths and limitations of Chronos’s frequency encoding mechanism. These findings offer novel insights into the interpretability of time-series foundation models and provide practical guidance for applications in signal processing and multimodal fusion.

Abstract

This paper presents a preliminary analysis of the ability of Chronos foundation model to process and internally represent frequency domain information. Foundation models that process time-series data offer practitioners a unified architecture capable of learning generic temporal representations across diverse tasks and domains, reducing the need for task-specific feature engineering and enabling transfer across signal modalities. Despite their growing adoption, the extent to which such models encode fundamental signal properties remains insufficiently characterised. We address this gap by analysing Chronos under controlled conditions, starting from the simplest class of signals: discrete sinusoids generated at fixed frequencies. Using lightweight online minimum description length probes applied to the decoder architecture, we test for the presence and separability of frequency information in the model's internal representations. The results provide insight into how frequential content is captured across the frequency spectrum and highlight regimes in which representation quality may degrade or require particular care. These findings offer practical guidance for users of Chronos in signal processing and information fusion contexts, and contribute to ongoing efforts to improve the interpretability and evaluation of foundation models for temporal data.

Problem

• foundation models
• time-series
• frequency representation
• signal processing
• model interpretability

Innovation

• foundation models
• frequency representation
• time-series analysis
• minimum description length probing
• signal interpretability