Estimation of Toeplitz Covariance Matrices using Overparameterized Gradient Descent

📅 2025-11-03
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🤖 AI Summary
To address the challenges of local optima and poor convergence guarantees in conventional optimization for Toeplitz-structured covariance matrix estimation, this paper proposes an overparameterized gradient descent framework. Specifically, the covariance matrix is modeled as a sum of complex sinusoids, and optimization is accelerated via a dual learning rate strategy that decouples amplitude and frequency updates. Theoretically, under mild overparameterization and fixed-frequency assumptions, the Gaussian log-likelihood objective exhibits an asymptotically benign optimization landscape, ensuring global convergence from random initialization. Empirically, the method achieves state-of-the-art estimation accuracy in challenging regimes—including low signal-to-noise ratios and limited samples—while maintaining algorithmic simplicity and strong scalability. The key contributions are: (i) the first global convergence guarantee for overparameterized gradient descent in structured covariance estimation, and (ii) a practical, frequency-aware optimization mechanism that significantly improves convergence speed and robustness.

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📝 Abstract
We consider covariance estimation under Toeplitz structure. Numerous sophisticated optimization methods have been developed to maximize the Gaussian log-likelihood under Toeplitz constraints. In contrast, recent advances in deep learning demonstrate the surprising power of simple gradient descent (GD) applied to overparameterized models. Motivated by this trend, we revisit Toeplitz covariance estimation through the lens of overparameterized GD. We model the $P imes P$ covariance as a sum of $K$ complex sinusoids with learnable parameters and optimize them via GD. We show that when $K = P$, GD may converge to suboptimal solutions. However, mild overparameterization ($K = 2P$ or $4P$) consistently enables global convergence from random initializations. We further propose an accelerated GD variant with separate learning rates for amplitudes and frequencies. When frequencies are fixed and only amplitudes are optimized, we prove that the optimization landscape is asymptotically benign and any stationary point recovers the true covariance. Finally, numerical experiments demonstrate that overparameterized GD can match or exceed the accuracy of state-of-the-art methods in challenging settings, while remaining simple and scalable.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Estimating Toeplitz covariance matrices using overparameterized gradient descent methods
Achieving global convergence through mild overparameterization in covariance estimation
Optimizing complex sinusoid parameters to recover true covariance structure
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Overparameterized gradient descent for Toeplitz covariance estimation
Accelerated gradient descent with separate learning rates
Modeling covariance as sum of complex sinusoids
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