🤖 AI Summary
This study investigates how structural design affects incentives and rent dissipation in dynamic, multi-stage contests. Focusing on the discouragement effect—where lagging participants reduce effort due to perceived low chances of winning—the paper identifies "exchangeability" as a key structural property that characterizes necessary and sufficient conditions for near-complete rent dissipation. By developing an iterated incumbent contest model and integrating game-theoretic and dynamic contest frameworks, the analysis demonstrates that environmental volatility, under specific structural conditions, can sustain dynamic incentives and lead to almost full rent dissipation. The results show that even in infinitely repeated contests, the discouragement effect can prevent complete dissipation, yet appropriate structural design substantially enhances efficiency.
📝 Abstract
We study dynamic multi-battle contests and examine how the contest structure shapes dynamic incentives and determines the extent of rent dissipation. A discouragement effect often arises -- such as in tug-of-war and best-of-$K$ contests -- preventing full rent dissipation even when the series can extend infinitely. We identify a structural property, exchangeability, that contributes to the effect. Leveraging this insight, we establish a necessary and sufficient condition for almost-full rent dissipation. As an application, we introduce the iterated incumbency contest, which illustrates how volatility in the surrounding environment sustains dynamic incentives and generates almost-full rent dissipation, and thus offers insights into various competitive phenomena.