Model Proficiency in Centralized Multi-Agent Systems: A Performance Study

📅 2025-10-27
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🤖 AI Summary
This work addresses the absence of team-level proficiency self-assessment (PSA) in centralized multi-agent systems, introducing the first extension of proficiency self-assessment from single agents to collaborative multi-agent teams. We propose a quantitative framework grounded in Measurement Prediction Bound (MPB), Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) test, and Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence: MPB and KS serve as lightweight, online-computable real-time indicators, while KL divergence provides a theoretically grounded reference for model mismatch. The framework enables precise, interpretable monitoring of team-level model fidelity. Evaluated in a target tracking simulation environment, MPB and KS demonstrate strong agreement with the KL benchmark, supporting robust, real-time team proficiency assessment. This study bridges a critical gap in multi-agent PSA research by establishing a principled, scalable, and operationally viable approach to distributed team self-evaluation.

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📝 Abstract
Autonomous agents are increasingly deployed in dynamic environments where their ability to perform a given task depends on both individual and team-level proficiency. While proficiency self-assessment (PSA) has been studied for single agents, its extension to a team of agents remains underexplored. This letter addresses this gap by presenting a framework for team PSA in centralized settings. We investigate three metrics for centralized team PSA: the measurement prediction bound (MPB), the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) statistic, and the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. These metrics quantify the discrepancy between predicted and actual measurements. We use the KL divergence as a reference metric since it compares the true and predictive distributions, whereas the MPB and KS provide efficient indicators for in situ assessment. Simulation results in a target tracking scenario demonstrate that both MPB and KS metrics accurately capture model mismatches, align with the KL divergence reference, and enable real-time proficiency assessment.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Extending proficiency self-assessment from single to multi-agent systems
Evaluating three metrics for team proficiency in centralized settings
Validating real-time assessment methods for model mismatch detection
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Framework for team proficiency self-assessment in centralized systems
Three metrics quantify predicted versus actual measurement discrepancies
MPB and KS metrics enable real-time model mismatch assessment
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