The Impact of Operational-Data Fidelity when Assessing Safety-Critical Autonomous-Vehicle Software
Low-granularity operational data can lead to overly optimistic assessments of autonomous driving software reliability, thereby undermining the credibility of safety certification. This work proposes a systematic approach based on Conservative Bayesian Inference (CBI) to quantify, for the first time, the adverse impact of insufficient data fidelity on the robustness of reliability claims. By integrating statistical robustness analysis with software reliability modeling, the study demonstrates that even conservative inference strategies may yield misleading conclusions when applied to low-fidelity data. The paper establishes the first conservative estimation framework that explicitly accounts for the influence of data granularity on reliability assessment, highlighting the critical importance of high-fidelity operational data in safety certification of autonomous driving systems.