MLPlatt: Simple Calibration Framework for Ranking Models
This work addresses the challenge that e-commerce ranking models often produce poorly calibrated and uninterpretable outputs, hindering reliable click-through rate (CTR) probability estimation. To resolve this, the authors propose a context-aware post-hoc calibration method that transforms model scores into well-calibrated, interpretable probabilities while preserving the original ranking order. The approach further enables stratified conditional calibration across categorical attributes such as country or device type, achieving accurate probability estimates at both global and fine-grained levels without compromising ranking performance. Experimental results on two real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed method reduces the feature-based Expected Calibration Error (F-ECE) by over 10% compared to existing techniques, effectively meeting the practical demand in e-commerce for trustworthy probabilistic predictions.