The causal relation between off-street parking and electric vehicle adoption in Scotland
This study investigates whether the association between off-street parking availability and electric vehicle (EV) adoption among Scottish households stems from infrastructural constraints or merely reflects underlying socioeconomic disparities. Leveraging nationally representative household survey data and employing a probabilistic causal inference framework to control for confounding factors, the analysis addresses selection bias inherent in conventional observational models. Findings indicate that off-street parking significantly accelerates EV adoption only among high-income households, increasing adoption probability from 3.3% to 5.6%—a relative increase of 70%. However, income itself constitutes the primary barrier to market entry, accounting for a 23.1 percentage-point gap in participation. These results suggest that infrastructure-focused policies, if implemented without addressing income constraints, risk exacerbating inequalities in EV adoption.